Cruz is out, Trump is in

May 3, 2016 0 Comments

Donald Trump’s victory in Indiana tonight followed by the suspension of Ted Cruz’s campaign all but guarantees that Trump will be the nominee.  It is worth repeating: Donald Trump is most likely the Republican Party nominee for president in 2016. What is amazing is that Donald Trump can now turn his attention to the general […]

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Presidential NIMBY

April 28, 2016 0 Comments

This blog is co-authored with Scott Peters, Associate Professor of Political Science at UNI. A while back we were discussing the relatability of the current group of presidential candidates.  In previous blogs I’ve discussed my “big wide-mouthed frog theory of Iowa politics” as it relates to this topic—that voters have to feel comfortable approaching candidates […]

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Cruz picks Fiorina…Why?

April 27, 2016 0 Comments

Breaking news this afternoon that Senator Ted Cruz intends to pick Carly Fiorina as his running mate.  Besides “putting the cart before the horse” as my colleague Kedron Bardwell put it during our conversation on IPR’s River on River (Cruz is nowhere near being the nominee yet), the pick is likely inconsequential in terms of […]

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Distrust and disgust

April 27, 2016 0 Comments

Tuesday’s primary results provided significant boosts to both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.  But the results also point to an intriguing paradox: While both candidates have mathematically eliminated their competition, both candidates are also mathematically more unpopular than their competition. In an AP-GfK poll of adults (not party insiders) released earlier this month, Clinton’s unfavorable […]

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The local-federal conundrum

April 4, 2016 0 Comments

SPECIAL NOTE: This blog was co-authored with the following UNI students, all of whom are enrolled in the Seminar in Public Administration on leadership: Jason Aarhus, Paul Andersen, Samuel George, Trevor Hanson, Trevor Heimbaugh, Rylan Johnson, Dylan C. Keller, Alyssa Kudron, Elizabeth Lynch, Mitch Sinnwell, and Evan Stoakes.   Presidential election years provide an opportunity […]

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Iowa no longer a tossup?

April 1, 2016 0 Comments

“Iowa is one of only five states deemed a battleground” state in every presidential election since 2000.  The above quote comes from a chapter written with my colleague Donna Hoffman for the book, Presidential Swing States: Why Only Ten Matter edited by Stacey Hunter Hecht and David Schultz. But in the last week, that label […]

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Even frequent voters like “outsiders”

March 31, 2016 0 Comments

A question often debated in the media is: Will the people who express support for “outsider” candidates such as Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders actually show up at the polls?  Put another way, are supporters of outsider candidates regular voters who can be counted on to turn out on Election Day?  Thus far, the answer […]

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Name isn’t everything

March 21, 2016 0 Comments

Jason Noble’s article in Monday’s Des Moines Register reports of potential fissions within the Democratic Party over Patty Judge’s recent entrance into the Democratic primary campaign.  The winner of that election will of course go on to challenge U.S. Senator Charles Grassley in November. While some may view Judge as a potentially competitive candidate given […]

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Is “coalescing” enough for 2016 voters?

February 25, 2016 0 Comments

In Thursday’s New York Times, former U.S. Senator Norm Coleman, a Republican from Minnesota, is quoted as saying, “A vote against Marco, or for anyone other than Marco is a vote for Donald Trump—and that is a terrible thing.” Is that really the best argument in 2016? If we know one thing about the mindset […]

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Nomination politics

February 23, 2016 0 Comments

Yet another take on how to view the unfolding political battle over filling Justice Scalia’s seat on the U.S. Supreme Court. First, on Congress, of the 34 seats up for reelection in the U.S. Senate this fall, 24 are currently controlled by Republicans (David Vitter in Louisiana and Marco Rubio in Florida are leaving open […]

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