
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance of showers/storms. Low: 61-64. Wind: NW 5-15 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, cooler and less humid. High: 79-83. Wind: NW 10-15 mph.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Low: 57-60. Wind: NW 5 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High: low 80s.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High: low-mid 80s.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/storms. High: low 80s.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High: low 80s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High: low 80s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High: low-mid 80s.

A cold front in northwest Iowa this afternoon is producing a few showers/storms. The map below shows the position of the cold front.

The front is forecast to push east through eastern Iowa tonight. There will be a chance of showers/storms tonight until about 3 or 4 AM. After that…the clouds will clear. Any rain that falls with the front will be about 0.50” or less. There is a better chance of rain in our NW counties than our SE counties. The map below is the rain forecast from this evening to Thursday evening.

As the front crosses the state, the SPC has part of our area in a slight risk. If any storms become severe the primary threat would be high wind and hail. The chance of severe weather is low. Here is the severe weather outlook for tonight:

The front will be east of Iowa by Thursday. High pressure will slowly cross the Midwest Thursday and Friday. Expect plenty of sunshine, cooler temperatures, lower humidity and a lighter wind. There is chance of showers/storms to develop over Nebraska Saturday and right now it looks like they would track south of viewing area. For this reason I will keep Saturday dry with more clouds.
A weak area of low pressure will develop southwest of Iowa and track southeast. There will be a few more clouds around Sunday with just a slight chance of a shower/storm. I am going to keep this rain chance in right now but the way the models have been trending…the high from Canada will push this low far enough south we stay dry. The map below shows the position of the low Sunday morning.

Speaking of the high in Canada in the previous paragraph…that high is large and will stretch south across the Midwest and Great Lakes area through the first half of next week keeping our weather dry. During this time the conditions will be more pleasant.
Posted under Forecast Discussion
This post was written by Schnack on June 20, 2012