A Warming Trend Ahead

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. Low: 33-36. Wind: SW 15-25 mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. High: 46-51. Wind: NW 10-15 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Low: 30-35. Wind: N 5-10 mph.

Friday: Mostly cloudy. High: near 50.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: near 60.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. High: mid 60s.

Monday: Partly cloudy. High: mid 60s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High: upper 60s.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High: near 70.

Weather Extra Bar

Tonight…Low pressure in western Iowa this afternoon is forecast to track northeast across the state. The low will bring a chance for a few l0w light showers. The wind this evening will be gusty from the south. The best chance of any showers will be north of Highway 20.

Apr 16 Current Map

Thursday/Friday…The weather will be cooler than normal and a lighter wind due to high pressure.

Saturday/Sunday…A weak disturbance will bring a chance for a few light showers this weekend. High temperatures will warm into the 60s.

Monday-Wednesday…These days is going to be very comfortable with temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s. Finally temperatures are going to be above normal for than just one or two days. The 6-10 day outlook shows above normal temperatures for most of the country.

Apr 16 Long Range

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on April 16, 2014

Cooler Than Normal Temps This Week

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Sprinkle or flurry early then clearing and cold. Low: 19-24. Wind: N 5-10 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High: 40-46. Wind: NW 5-10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. High: 28-34. Wind: SE 10-20 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and windy (S 15-30 mph) with a stray shower across far northern Iowa. High: upper 50s.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. High: near 50.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. High: near 50.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: mid 50s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: near 60.

Monday: Partly cloudy. High: low-mid 60s.Weather Extra Bar

It is still hard to believe that we were in the 80s Saturday and then just last night…light snow fell. Followed by that, wind chills were in the 20s today. Speaking of snow, Waterloo received 0.4” of snow bringing the grand total to 58.0” for the winter. That means this winter now holds the second place spot as the snowiest winter. The record snowfall is 59.4” in 1961-62.

Apr 14 Satellite

Tonight…The clouds will clear this evening giving us a chance to see the International Space Station (ISS):

Time: 8: 27 PM
Duration: 3 min
Path: NNW to NE

Time: 10:04 PM
Duration: 2 min
Patch: NNW to NNE

After the space station, you might want to set your alarm for this, a Total Lunar Eclipse will be visible.
Apr 14 Lunar

Tuesday…The morning will be cold with temperature in the low 20s. Looks like another day for the winter coat…at least to start the day.

Wednesday… We are tracking an area of low pressure forecast to move across the Iowa/Minnesota state line. An isolated shower is possible across far northern. Despite a mostly cloudy sky, the gusty south wind will push afternoon highs into the 50s.

Apr 14 Wed AM Sfc Map

Thursday/Friday… A weak area of low pressure will bring us the best chance of showers during this time with temperatures near 50.

Saturday/Sunday… High temperatures continue to warm reaching near 60 degrees. Isolated showers are possible each day.

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on April 14, 2014

Wet and Windy Weekend

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Increasing clouds. Low: 44-47. Wind: SS 5-10 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and windy with a 60% chance of showers/storms. High: 67-75. Wind: S 15-25 mph.

Saturday Night: Cloudy with an 80% chance of showers/storms. Low: 48-53. Wind: S 5-10 mph.

Sunday: Cloudy and windy (N 15-30 mph) with an 80% chance of showers. High: low 50s.

Monday: Decreasing clouds and windy (N 10-20 mph). High: low-mid 40s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High: mid 40s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and windy (S 15-25 mph) with a 20% chance of showers. High: near 50.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: low-mid 50s.

Friday: Mostly cloudy. High: mid 50s.

Weather Extra Bar

Tonight…The gusty wind will diminish this evening again and remain light overnight. The clouds are forecast to increase, but it looks like we will be mostly clear to see the space station this evening.

ISS

We get another chance to see the International Space Station (ISS) this evening at 9:15 PM for 3 minutes it will travel from NNW to NE.

Saturday/Sunday…Low pressure is forecast to track east and bring a chance of showers/storms to the area Saturday and Saturday evening. Isolated severe storms are possible in the afternoon and evening. This will depend on the type of weather that happens in the morning. The wind increases again from the south pushing highs back into the 60s and 70s.

Apr 11 Sat Storms

Saturday night the threat for storms diminishes as the next area of low pressure tracks northeast toward Iowa. Rain becomes widespread overnight and continues through Sunday and Sunday night. The second low will now be east of Iowa Sunday with a gusty wind front the north pulling much colder air south.

The temperatures continue to fall Sunday night to near freezing. The rain will mix and/or change to light snow before tapering off as the sun comes up Monday morning. The heavier rain is more likely Saturday night through Sunday night. Here is the breakdown of the rain this weekend.

Apr 11 QPF2

Monday/Tuesday…It will be a chilly start to the week with temperatures about 15 degrees below normal for highs. The wind will gradually diminish Monday evening. Tuesday and Wednesday morning will be cold with temperatures in the 20s.

Wednesday/Thursday…There is a chance for a few showers both days as temperatures slowly warm back into the 50s by Thursday.

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on April 11, 2014

Dry Friday then a Wet Weekend

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Mostly clear. Low: 36-39. Wind: SW 5-10 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High: 67-70. Wind: SW 10-15 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Low: 44-47. Wind: S 5-10 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance of showers/storms. High: near 70.

Sunday: Cloudy and windy (N 15-25 mph) with an 80% chance of rain. High: low 50s.

Monday: Partly cloudy. High: mid 40s.  

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High: upper 40s.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: near 50.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: low 50s.   

Weather Extra Bar

ISS

We get another chance to see the International Space Station (ISS) this evening at 8:27 PM for 4 minutes it will travel from NW to NE.

Tonight…The wind will diminish as the sun sets this evening. A light wind is expected for most of the night under a mostly clear sky.

Friday/Friday Night…A beautiful spring day is ahead. The sun will be shinning with a lighter wind compared to the last two days. Afternoon highs will get close to 70 degrees again. Friday night clouds will increase late with mild temperatures.

Saturday/Sunday…One work could sum up the weekend WET. Showers/storms are likely Saturday and Saturday night with mainly just rain Sunday. The threat for any severe storms at this time is very low. Saturday will be the warmer of the two days ahead of the front. Sunday the wind increases from the NW pulling colder air south. The rain will continue Sunday night and taper off late as the sun comes up Monday. Late Sunday night it might be cold enough for a few snow showers before the precipitation tapers off. I described the weekend as wet because there is a potential for 2”+ for all of eastern Iowa combining Saturday/Sunday rain.

Apr 10 QPF

Make sure you gutters are cleaned out so that the water can flow through them properly and not cause any water issues around your home. A good day to do that would be Friday.

The rain is also a good thing for most of the state since the latest Drought Monitor information was released this morning.

Apr 10 Drought

Most of Iowa is dealing with pretty dry condition. So dry, we had an elevated fire risk again today with the very dry atmosphere and windy conditions.

Monday/Tuesday…These will be the coolest two days of the next seven. A northwest wind will keep the temperatures from reaching our normal high close to 60. Dry conditions are forecast.

Wednesday/Thursday…Temperatures warm a little as a chance for some showers is included in the forecast.

Long Range Outlook…The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is leaning toward colder than normal temperatures and above normal precipitation from April 18-24.

Apr 10 Long Range TempPrecip

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on April 10, 2014

Best Chance of Rain This Weekend

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Partly cloudy and mild with a stay shower possible late. Low: 48-51. Wind: SW 10-20 mph.

Thursday: AM: 20% chance of showers and breezy. PM: Clearing. High: 60-63. Wind: NW 10-20 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Low: 37-41. Wind: W/SW 5-10 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: low-mid 60s.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of showers/storms. High: upper 60s.

Sunday: Cloudy and windy (N 15-25 mph) with a 50% chance of showers. High: low 50s.

Monday: A 20% chance of rain/snow shower in the morning then turning partly cloudy. High: mid 40s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High: upper 40s.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High: low 50s.

Weather Extra Bar

It was a warm day with high temperatures getting close to and reaching 70 degrees. Here is the last time we hit 70 degrees or warmer:

Waterloo: Oct 11 (77 deg)
Dubuque: Oct 11 (74 deg)
Cedar Rapids: Oct 11 (76 deg)
Iowa City: Oct 11 (77 deg)

Tonight…A cold front will be approaching late tonight with a stray shower possible otherwise partly cloudy overnight and mild.

ISS

We get another chance to see the International Space Station (ISS) this evening at 9:16 PM for 4 minutes it will travel from NW to NE.

Thursday/Thursday Night…A stray shower or two is still possible in the morning as the front crosses the area. The clouds will clear late in the morning into the early afternoon. The wind will be breezy, but lighter than Wednesday.

Apr 9 Rain Thu AM

Friday…A couple of light showers are possible during the day with mild temperatures.

Saturday-Monday…Low pressure is forecast to bring a chance of showers/storms to the area Saturday and Saturday night with high temperatures approaching 70 degrees ahead of the low. The low tracks east of Iowa Sunday with cooler conditions and scattered rain showers. The gusty NW wind will make it feel cooler. The rain showers will continue Sunday night into early Monday morning. Colder air late Sunday night/early Monday morning could be cold enough for the rain to get mixed with light snow at times. At this point I don’t see any accumulations possible. Monday will be the coolest day of the next 7 with highs in the mid 40s.

Rain amounts with this system could add up to 2” across the state.

Apr 9 Rain Through Weekend

This would be beneficial rains since most of the state is in some sort of drought, except northeast Iowa. The Drought Monitor will be updated Thursday morning. The rain will also help the counties currently under a burn ban.

Apr 9 Burn Ban

Tuesday/Wednesday…Dry conditions as temperatures slowly start to warm up.

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on April 9, 2014

Warm and Windy Tomorrow…Chance of Rain this Weekend

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Clear and cool. Low: 30-34. Wind: Light.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and windy. High: 64-69. Wind: SW 15-25 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy and mild. Low: 46-48. Wind: SW 10-15 mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: low 60s.

Friday: Partly cloudy. High: low 60s.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers/storms. High: upper 60s.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers. High: low-mid 50s.

Monday: Partly cloudy. High: upper 40s.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High: near 50.

Weather Extra Bar

Tonight…High pressure will lighten up the wind tonight and keep the sky clear. We can see the International Space Station this evening at 8:25 PM for 6 minutes. The travel path is from the SW to ENE.  Also this evening if you look in the eastern sky you will see a bright light…that is Mars. Click here for additional information.

Wednesday…As the high moves east I am tracking a cold front approaching from the northwest. Between these two features a gusty wind will push highs into the mid and upper 60s.

Thursday…The cold front is forecast to push through the area in the morning with a few light showers. Sunshine returns during the afternoon with slightly cooler temperatures, but still very comfortable.

Apr 8 Thu Rain

Friday…At this point I am going to leave the forecast dry. Model guidance has been showing dry weather except the last update. If that trend continues, I will add in a chance of showers with my next forecast update tomorrow.

Saturday/Sunday…There is still some uncertainty about this part of the forecast. The rain chance is there…the details like timing and amounts are etched in stone at this point. One model shows a lot of rain while another shows light rain. Also the timing is very different as well. We will have to wait on this for more details.

Monday/Tuesday…As mentioned above there is low confidence in the model guidance for the weekend. This does have an impact on Monday as well. If the low slows up the chance of rain will be added to Monday. Right now I am going to leave it dry. High pressure returns Tuesday. Cooler weather returns after the low moves east of Iowa with afternoon highs in the upper 40s.

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on April 8, 2014

Evening Showers then a Couple of Breezy Days

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a few showers this evening. Low: 36-39. Wind: N 10-15 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy and breezy. High: 53-55. Wind: N 10-20 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Low: 31-34. Wind: W 5-10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and breezy (S 15-25 mph). High: upper 60s.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers. High: low 60s.

Friday: Partly cloudy. High: low 60s.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers/storms. High: mid-upper 60s.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. High: mid 50s.

Monday: Mostly sunny. High: upper 40s.

Weather Extra Bar

Tonight…Showers have developed during the heating of the day and will linger into the evening. A couple of rumbles of thunder are possible, but no severe weather is expected. The showers will dissipate by midnight…mainly after the sun sets.

Apr 7 Radar

Tuesday/Wednesday…The weather will be dry and breezy both days with a south wind. The warmer day, with highs in the upper 60s, will be Wednesday.

Apr 7 Wed Eve Map

Thursday…A cold front will come through with the state with very little moisture. We can expected a slight chance of an isolated shower…many will remain dry.

Friday…A nice spring day with a light wind.

Saturday/Sunday…Low pressure is forecast to track across the Midwest bringing a chance of showers/storms. Temperatures will drop from the 60s to the 50s from Saturday to Sunday.

Monday…High pressure brings sunshine and cooler temperatures.

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on April 7, 2014

A Wet and Windy Thursday

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Mostly cloudy and windy with scattered showers developing after midnight. Low: 38-42. Wind: S 15-30 mph.

Thursday: Cloudy with scattered showers. High: 44-52. Wind: S 10-20 mph.

Thursday Night: Still windy as the showers end. Low: 26-31. Wind: NW 15-25 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy. High: low-mid 40s.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. High: low 50s.

Sunday: Mostly sunny and windy (S 15-25 mph). High: low 60s.

Monday: Mostly cloudy and windy (S 15-25 mph) with a 30% chance of rain. High: mid-upper 50s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High: upper 40s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain. High: upper 40s.

 

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on March 26, 2014

Tracking a Storm for Thursday

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Mostly clear and cold. Low: 9-16. Wind: Light.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, windy and warmer. High: 42-51. Wind: S 15-30 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy and windy with a 20% chance of rain late. Low: 36-39. Wind: S 15-25 mph.

Thursday: Cloudy with an 80% chance of rain. High: mid 40s.

Friday: Partly cloudy. High: low-mid 40s.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. High: low 50s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy and windy (S 15-30 mph). High: low 60s.

Monday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain. High: upper 50s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High: upper 40s.

Weather Extra Bar

Tonight… The wind will gradually diminish as high pressure moves the middle of the country. Temperatures by morning, in some locations, will reach the single digits.

Wednesday… Lots of sunshine and a lot of wind will be ahead of low pressure to our west. Our afternoon highs are forecast to be 10-15 degrees warmer than Tuesday. Here is the forecast map for Wednesday evening.

Mar 25 Wed Eve Sfc Map

Wednesday Night-Thursday Night… Clouds increase Wednesday evening as showers are forecast to develop after midnight. Scattered showers will continue through Thursday and into Thursday evening. Rain amounts could be around 0.50” in many locations. As the low moves away from Iowa, any lingering rain may mix or change to light snow as colder air settles in Thursday night. All precipitation should be out of the area by sunrise Friday. Here is the possible rain from Tuesday evening through Friday evening.

Mar 25 QPF

Friday-Sunday… A stretch of dry weather and increasing temperatures are just want we need heading into the weekend. I pleasant spring weekend is ahead. The only hitch will be the windy conditions Sunday as temperatures reach the low 60s.

Monday/Tuesday… Low pressure is forecast to bring a chance of rain to the state Monday followed by cooler temperatures (40s) Tuesday.

Just because Sunday will be in the low 60s doesn’t mean the warm weather will last. The 8-14 day outlook shows below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.

Mar 25 Outlook

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on March 25, 2014

Cold Again Tomorrow

Forecast Bar

UPDATED at 4:30 PM

Tonight: Light snow/flurries end followed by clearing overnight. Low: 14-19. Wind: NW 5-15 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, windy and cold. High: 23-31. Wind: NW 15-25 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear and cold. Low: 10-14. Wind: Light.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy and windy (S 15-30 mph). High: low-mid 40s.

Thursday: Cloudy with a 70% chance of rain. High: low-mid 40s.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain/snow. High: low-mid 40s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. High: low 50s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy and windy (S 10-20 mph). High: low 60s.

Monday: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain. High: upper 50s.

Weather Extra Bar

Tonight… Scattered light snow or flurries will continue through the evening hours. By midnight the snow would be over and then the clouds will begin to clear. As the clouds clear the temperatures will drop into the teens by morning.

Tuesday/Tuesday Night… Hopefully this will be the last cold day this spring. High temperatures are forecast to be 20-25 below normal for this time of year. A gusty northwest wind in the morning will diminish as high pressure tracks southeast across the Midwest. Here is the forecast map for Tuesday evening.

Mar 24 Tue AM

Wednesday/Thursday… Low pressure is forecast to track northeast across Iowa. Ahead of the low Wednesday through Thursday morning the wind will be strong from the south pushing highs into the 40s. If the track remains over Iowa Thursday, part of Thursday, the wind will be light until the low center is east of the area. At that point the wind will increase from the northwest. Rain will develop in the morning and continue into the afternoon before tapering off Thursday night. Here is the forecast map for Thursday morning.

Mar 24 Thu AM Map

Friday… After the Thursday low pulls away colder air wraps in behind it and any lingering moisture could mix with light snow late Thursday night into Friday morning.

The amount of moisture in this storm could bring about 0.50” of rain.

Mar 24 QPF

Saturday-Monday… This weekend just might be the best weekend we have seen in some time. Highs are forecast to reach the 50s and 60s with dry conditions. We are tracking another weak area of low pressure to bring us a chance of rain Monday.

Share

Posted under Forecast Discussion

This post was written by Schnack on March 24, 2014