ICYMI Nov 30 – Circumhorizon Arc/ Colder Days Ahead/ Snow Cover/ White Sands

Circumhorizon Arc
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November is going to go down as the second warmest November on Record. Things might be changing as we head into December, the first month of Meteorological winter (Dec/Jan/Feb). Temperatures are might be colder than normal December 8-14.

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Here is a look at the snow cover across the U.S. today compared to November 30, 2015.

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The White Sands of New Mexico looks like snow. Click here for a more detailed look at the photo and why it looks that way.
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Posted under Long Range Outlook, Optics, Winter Weather

This post was written by Schnack on November 30, 2016

ICYMI Oct 19 – Warmer Days/Meteor Shower/Record Temps

Cooler weather Thursday and Friday does not last long. Warmer weather returns for the weekend and may continue through early November.
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A clear sky Thursday night/Friday morning allows us to see Orionid meteor shower. It is forecast to peak late in the evening into early morning hours of Friday. Click here for more details.

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High temperatures Monday were warm. They were so far above normal in parts of eastern Iowa we have to go back to early March.

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Posted under Astronomy, Long Range Outlook, Temperatures

This post was written by Schnack on October 19, 2016

ICYMI Sep 30…Rain Totals/October Outlook/Matthew

Here is a look at the rainfall across Iowa and the Midwest. The highest rain total reported in Iowa was 2.4 miles SSE of Nora Springs with 17.25″ of rain.

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Now take a look at the rainfall for the Midwest.
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The Climate Prediction Center, outlook for October is above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation in NW Iowa.

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The latest update on Hurricane Matthew puts as a category 4 storm with winds up to 150 mph. The map below shows that it is forecast to turn north this weekend and weaken to a category 2 hurricane after it moves over Cuba.
2015 Tropics
Click here for the latest forecast track.

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The leaves are starting to change. Here is a look at when the average peak colors are across Iowa. Click here for the latest update on the fall colors.

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Posted under Astronomy, Fall Colors, Long Range Outlook, NOAA, Precipitation Totals, Tropics

This post was written by Schnack on September 30, 2016

Warm Weather Ahead

Once we get past a couple of chances at snow this week, above normal temps are likely March 8-14.
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Posted under Long Range Outlook

This post was written by Schnack on February 29, 2016

Mainly Dry Outlook

The extended outlook is leaning toward mainly dry weather through early March.

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Posted under Long Range Outlook

This post was written by Schnack on February 22, 2016

Temperatures Below 0°

In the last 10 years, the number of days with temps 0° or colder drops off dramatically after February. Maybe the real cold is now behind us.

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The outlook for March was updated today from the Climate Predication Center (CPC). There is a potential for above normal temperatures across the northern part of the nation. Click here for the technical forecast discussion.

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Posted under Long Range Outlook, Precipitation Totals

This post was written by Schnack on February 18, 2016

Warmer Days Ahead

After a bitterly cold weekend and start to the work week the temperatures are look to be heading in the other direction. We will be near normal through early next week. The 8-14 day outlook (Jan 27-Feb 2) shows above normal temperatures.

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Posted under Long Range Outlook

This post was written by Schnack on January 19, 2016

Outlook Through January

Temperatures through the rest of December are likely to be above normal. A couple of cold days are possible, but the average temperatures will be above normal.

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The most common comment I have heard recently is “we will probably get hammered in January and February”. Well the January outlook was released today and our El Nino pattern is expected to continue with above normal temperatures.

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Posted under Long Range Outlook

This post was written by Schnack on December 17, 2015

Warm December…So Far

I know there is still a lot of time left in December, but I thought I would take a look at the early numbers. Through the 7th of December it is the warmest December on record, at Waterloo. Again, we still have a lot of December to go to change the average temperature. The chart below is the average temperature in December at Waterloo through the 7th.
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High temperatures Thursday are forecast to reach the mid 50s. During this time of the month and later, reaching 55° doesn’t happen very often. Check out the chart below showing the lack of 55°+ days in December.

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The outlook leading up to Christmas keeps a good chance of above normal temperatures across Iowa.

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Posted under Climate, Long Range Outlook

This post was written by Schnack on December 8, 2015

December Outlook

The updated outlook for December was released today and it shows temperatures are likely to be above normal. As for the precipitation, there is nothing that helps lean either way (above or below)…therefore the “EC”=Equal Chances.

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If you want to read the technical discussion from the Climate Prediction Center click here.

The map below shows the normal precipitation amounts for December.
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The map below shows the normal high temperatures for December.
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Posted under Long Range Outlook, NOAA

This post was written by Schnack on November 30, 2015