Let’s take a look back at how good or bad the forecast track was from the National Hurricane Center for Hurricane Sandy. The map below was the forecast for Sandy issued at 11 AM Thursday, October 25. The forecast shows the storm off the New Jersey coast Tuesday morning.
The map below shows the actual position of the storm off the New Jersey coast Monday evening. The timing was slightly off but the forecast track was right on 4-5 days out.
The image below courtesy of the Los Angeles Times, shows the red shaded areas where a mandatory evacuation was in effect for New York. The red dots show where the fatalities were (in the red shaded area). The shelters these people could have gone to were outside of the evacuation area. When warnings are issued and evacuation orders are issued it is for a reason…to protect lives.
Posted under Tropics, Verification
This post was written by Schnack on November 3, 2012