Active Tropics

Today (Sept 10) is the peak of hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin.

This evening we have three named storms in the Atlantic…Florence, Issac and Helene.

Florence is forecast to remain a Category 4 storm as it heads toward the the southeast coast of the United States. Somewhere along the North Carolina coast appears to be where it moves onshore. It is a large storm so it is not just the center of circulation people should be concerned about. Look how far in, from the coast, the heavy rain falls. The latest forecast shows the rainfall amounts will be 10″ to as much as 20″ across much of North Carolina and Virginia.

Winds along the coast could exceed 130 mph. Only one hurricane has brought sustained winds of 130 mph or stronger to North Carolina since 1851, it was Hurricane Hazel in 1954.

The chart below shows Florence began off the coast of Africa and the path it has taken through Monday.

Since 1970, there have been six hurricanes to make landfall as a category 4 or 5, three of those six were last year. Florence has the potential for make it the seventh.

Here is what it looks like in the center of the hurricane from one of Hurricane Hunters.


Several models are suggesting the eye of the storm to make landfall along the North Carolina Coast.

Here is the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center as of Monday evening.




Posted under Tropics

This post was written by Schnack on September 10, 2018